Winning Systems

If anyone says or writes that he has a consistently "winning" craps system, he's either lying to swindle you or too stupid to know better. No consistently winning craps system exists, has ever existed, or will ever exist. Understand? None. Don't ever let anyone persuade you otherwise.

Most systems spread false hope. They hardly ever change as they go from book to book and article to article. Authors often prey on your greed, your hope for an easy score. As with everything else that offers people a quick buck, these shysters take from the stupid and give to themselves. Their "winning" systems focus on consistently beating the house, which I prove in my eBook, The Secret to Craps: The Right Way to Play, can't be done over time. How many of you are experienced craps players and tried these systems at some point in your playing life? Be honest. How many of you went to Vegas with high hopes of winning thousands using your new found, sure-fire, "winning" system that cost you $85 on the Internet? And, after playing your wonderful "winning" system, how many of you returned home a loser? Be honest.

You shouldn't play craps expecting to win over time. If you do have a winning session or short-term winning streak, consider yourself lucky for experiencing a distribution variance that favored you at that particular time. If a consistently "winning" system ever did exist, the casinos would have gone belly up years ago. Well, not really. Instead of going belly up, the instant some genius figured out a winning combination of bets (i.e., gained a player advantage), the casinos would have changed the rules to bring the advantage back to them.

All craps systems are simply combinations of bets supplemented with wacky betting schemes. Most sound impressive, scientific, and feasible. Some are simple, some complex. The fact is, no matter what bets you combine and betting patterns you apply, you can't overcome the house advantage. No hedge-bet method (i.e., combination of bet types and bet amounts) will ever change the negative expectation to result in a player advantage. The best you can hope for is to minimize the house advantage, maximize your fun, and hope like heck you hit a "Nirvana hiccup" (explained in my article titled Variance).

You think, "This is depressing! Why do people play this game?" The ignorant and arrogant players truly believe they can either beat the house, they possess some kind of supernatural mojo that affects the dice, or they believe in the silly notion of dice setting. However, the knowledgeable player plays for one basic reason--it's so much fun. The knowledgeable player knows he's supposed to lose over time. This acknowledgement allows the player to enjoy the game without worrying about winning. If he loses a session, it's paid entertainment. If he wins a session, he knows he'll probably lose it during a future session. The interaction with people, the range of emotion, and the thrill of the hot roll are what bring the knowledgeable player back again and again.